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Governance index (2010) - ClimAfrica WP4

The “governance index” is related to potential effectiveness of any governmental response during and after exposure to climate stress in 2010. Generally well-structured governmental institutions are able to enhance the resilience of its members and citizen promoting adaptation strategies and action. The index results from the first cluster of the Principal Component Analysis preformed among 18 potential variables. The analysis identifies seven dominant variables, namely “openness to external assistance”, “regulatory quality”, “government effectiveness”, “voice and accountability”, “failed state”, “perceived corruption” and “criminal rate”, assigning equal weight of 0.1525 except to “criminal rate” that retrieve a weight of 0.085. Before to perform the analysis “criminal rate” was log transformed to shorten the extreme variation and then all variables were score-standardized (converted to distribution with average of 0 and standard deviation of 1; inverse method was applied for “criminal rate”) in order to be comparable. All the variables are country base and the tabular data were linked by country to the national boundaries shapefile (FAO/GAUL) and then converted into raster format (resolution 0.5 arc-minute). The variable “openness to external assistance” was compute as the average values of the period 2008-2012 of the KOF Index of Globalization that serves as a proxy for a country’s level of global integration. It uses data on three dimensions of globalization (economic, social and political) to create an overall globalization score between zero and 100 that measures a country’s level of integration in the global system. The variables “regulatory quality”, “government effectiveness” and “voice and accountability” are gathered from the World Bank’s Worldwide Governance Indicators, considering the average of the period 2008-2012. “Regulatory quality” captures perceptions of the ability of the government to formulate and implement sound policies and regulations that permit and promote private sector development. “Government effectiveness” captures perceptions of the quality of public services, the quality of the civil service and the degree of its independence from political pressures, the quality of policy formulation and implementation, and the credibility of the government's commitment to such policies. “Voice and accountability captures perceptions of the extent to which a country's citizens are able to participate in selecting their government, as well as freedom of expression, freedom of association, and a free media. The “failed state” variable is based on the average 2008-2012 of the fragile state index that is a compilation of 12 socio-economic and political variables made by the Fund for Peace. It aims to capture the vulnerability to any kind of stress of a certain state. The “perceived corruption” variable is based on the homonym index published by Transparency International (NGO) averaged from 2008 to 2012. It assesses the level of corruption using qualitative surveys. Finally the “criminal rate” records the average rate (per 100,000 people) of unlawful death, as defined and assessed by the UN Office on Drugs and Crime, in the period 2008-2012. A country with a higher degree of global integration will be better positioned to obtain disaster assistance from the international community. Autarkic or less well-integrated countries may be less able or willing to receive outside assistance in the event of extreme weather events. Such assistance could take the form of aid from bilateral or multilateral donors or international humanitarian organizations, or it could be in the form of remittances from overseas family or diasporas of the affected population. The Worldwide Governance Indicators define the level of expected assistance to citizens to better coping and manage with climate stressors and disaster events in situations measuring the good governance degree of a state. The failed state index measures the state ability to implement adaptation strategies measuring its vulnerability. People living in countries with higher level of corruption are thought to have more difficulties recovering from climate change impacts, due to limited governmental support reaching affected population compared to states with lower level of corruption. Corruption can further be of particular importance when it comes to the distribution of and access to emergency relief resources. Finally the criminal rate is included because violence severely limits a government’s ability to deliver assistance and indicate a lack of authority by central government.

This dataset has been produced in the framework of the “Climate change predictions in Sub-Saharan Africa: impacts and adaptations (ClimAfrica)” project, Work Package 4 (WP4). More information on ClimAfrica project is provided in the Supplemental Information section of this metadata.

Simple

Date (Creation)
2014-09-01T00:00:00
Presentation form
Digital map
Purpose

Purpose of WP4 - D4.3 is to establish a medium-term warning system (based on ClimAfrica data) that produces prospective analyses about climate change impacts on agriculture for the next 10 years. This will fill the gap between seasonal scale predictions and long-term impact scenarios, and identify the future Areas of Concerns (AoCs) and likely hotspots of vulnerabilities.

Status
Completed
Originator
  FAO-UN - Selvaraju Ramasamy ( Natural Resources Officer )
Viale delle Terme di Caracalla , Rome , Italy
Maintenance and update frequency
As needed
Theme
  • perceived corruption

  • World Bank governance index

  • criminal rate

  • Kof index

  • Fund for Peace Index

  • adaptive capacity

  • WP4

  • ClimAfrica

  • Tag_climafrica

Place
  • Africa

Access constraints
Copyright
Spatial representation type
Grid
Distance
30  arc/sec
Metadata language
English
Character set
UTF8
Topic category
  • Society
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Supplemental Information

ClimAfrica was an international project funded by European Commission under the 7th Framework Programme (FP7) for the period 2010-2014. The ClimAfrica consortium was formed by 18 institutions, 9 from Europe, 8 from Africa, and the Food and Agriculture Organization of United Nations (FAO).


ClimAfrica was conceived to respond to the urgent international need for the most appropriate and up-to-date tools and methodologies to better understand and predict climate change, assess its impact on African ecosystems and population, and develop the correct adaptation strategies. Africa is probably the most vulnerable continent to climate change and climate variability and shows diverse range of agro-ecological and geographical features. Thus the impacts of climate change can be very high and can greatly differ across the continent, and even within countries.


The project focused on the following specific objectives:


1. Develop improved climate predictions on seasonal to decadal climatic scales, especially relevant to SSA;


2. Assess climate impacts in key sectors of SSA livelihood and economy, especially water resources and agriculture;


3. Evaluate the vulnerability of ecosystems and civil population to inter-annual variations and longer trends (10 years) in climate;


4. Suggest and analyse new suited adaptation strategies, focused on local needs;


5 Develop a new concept of 10 years monitoring and forecasting warning system, useful for food security, risk management and civil protection in SSA;


6. Analyse the economic impacts of climate change on agriculture and water resources in SSA and the cost-effectiveness of potential adaptation measures.


The work of ClimAfrica project was broken down into the following work packages (WPs) closely connected. All the activities described in WP1, WP2, WP3, WP4, WP5 consider the domain of the entire South Sahara Africa region. Only WP6 has a country specific (watershed) spatial scale where models validation and detailed processes analysis are carried out.

Reference system identifier
GCS WGS 84 (EPSG Ellipsoid 7030)
Distribution format
  • ( GeoTiff )

OnLine resource
ClimAfr26_governance_index.zip ( WWW:DOWNLOAD-1.0-http--download )

Governance index (2010)

OnLine resource
geonetwork:climafr26_governance_index_48370 ( OGC:WMS-1.1.1-http-get-map )

Governance index (2010)

OnLine resource
Scenarios of major production systems in Africa ( WWW:LINK-1.0-http--link )

Project deliverable D4.1 - Scenarios of major production systems in Africa

OnLine resource
CLIMAFRICA – Climate change predictions in Sub-Saharan Africa: impacts and adaptations ( WWW:LINK-1.0-http--link )

Climafrica Website - Climate Change Predictions In Sub-Saharan Africa: Impacts And Adaptations

File identifier
163b8baa-3e3d-4a40-b10d-312e6226f773 XML
Metadata language
English
Character set
UTF8
Date stamp
2023-01-24T08:52:01
Metadata standard name

ISO 19115:2003/19139

Metadata standard version

1.0

Point of contact
  FAO-UN - FAO-Data
 
 

Overviews

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Spatial extent

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Keywords

ClimAfrica Fund for Peace Index Kof index Tag_climafrica WP4 World Bank governance index adaptive capacity criminal rate perceived corruption

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